Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.065845 0.074294 0.082925 0.092371 0.102387 0.112665 0.123981
2025-08-17 0.052125 0.064517 0.077785 0.092910 0.109548 0.127174 0.147148
2025-08-24 0.040915 0.055241 0.071247 0.090136 0.111530 0.134757 0.161638
2025-08-31 0.032801 0.048191 0.066083 0.087855 0.113130 0.141119 0.174054
2025-09-07 0.028076 0.044461 0.064176 0.088771 0.117883 0.150610 0.189597
2025-09-14 0.024644 0.041872 0.063255 0.090519 0.123321 0.160656 0.205574
2025-09-21 0.022645 0.040861 0.064064 0.094168 0.130851 0.173000 0.224090
2025-09-28 0.019903 0.038531 0.062972 0.095295 0.135222 0.181558 0.238159
2025-10-05 0.020000 0.040119 0.066904 0.102653 0.147098 0.198916 0.262439
2025-10-12 0.017035 0.037003 0.064448 0.101802 0.148867 0.204264 0.272668
2025-10-19 0.015326 0.035557 0.064089 0.103513 0.153693 0.213178 0.287022
2025-10-26 0.013400 0.033561 0.062830 0.103945 0.156848 0.220031 0.298905
2025-11-02 0.011828 0.032078 0.062347 0.105557 0.161733 0.229296 0.314076
2025-11-09 0.010078 0.030089 0.061039 0.106023 0.165173 0.236856 0.327307
2025-11-16 0.007720 0.026620 0.057307 0.103018 0.164030 0.238704 0.333603
2025-11-23 0.005855 0.023675 0.054113 0.100557 0.163441 0.241121 0.340492
2025-11-30 0.004924 0.022439 0.053449 0.101544 0.167281 0.248972 0.353917
2025-12-07 0.004263 0.021664 0.053450 0.103428 0.172268 0.258236 0.369052
2025-12-14 0.004000 0.021779 0.054883 0.107355 0.179962 0.270891 0.388334
2025-12-21 0.003358 0.020816 0.054465 0.108567 0.184021 0.278977 0.402037
2025-12-28 0.003720 0.022546 0.058616 0.116471 0.197053 0.298379 0.429622
2026-01-04 0.002861 0.020797 0.056780 0.115557 0.198240 0.302844 0.438901
2026-01-11 0.002447 0.020180 0.056833 0.117393 0.203103 0.311939 0.453858